Match Info

2. SNL - Round 12

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Matije Gubca (Krško)


	Krško		Rudar Velenje

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.6	1.7
	4.32	3.65	1.68
	3.6	3.5	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (2.7)	3.58 ↓ (3.66)	1.72 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krško
22.6%

Draw
25.1%

Rudar Velenje
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

24.7%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

24.3%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krško has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Krško's form might have worsened.

Rudar Velenje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rudar Velenje's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krško than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Krško, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rudar Velenje than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rudar Velenje, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Krško - Rudar Velenje Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rudar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Krško (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Krško (votes: 1 - 50%). Rudar (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 12)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krško won 1.

Krško is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Rudar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rudar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rudar will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Krško won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Krško won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Krško
Slovenian 2 SNL
31.10.25	Krka - Krško	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Slovan Ljubljana - Krško	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Krško - Triglav	0:4 ✺
04.10.25	Brinje-Grosuplje - Krško	5:0 ✺
27.09.25	Krško - Beltinci	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTLLL
- Rudar Velenje
Slovenian 2 SNL
31.10.25	Rudar Velenje - Jesenice	1:1 ✺
Slovenian Cup
21.10.25	Ljutomer - Rudar Velenje	0:3 ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
18.10.25	Rudar Velenje - Gorica	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Dravinja - Rudar Velenje	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Rudar Velenje - Krka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian Cup
25.09.24	Krško - Rudar Velenje	1:3
Slovenian 2 SNL
04.05.23	Krško - Rudar Velenje	2:1
22.10.22	Rudar Velenje - Krško	1:0
10.04.22	Krško - Rudar Velenje	1:2
25.09.21	Rudar Velenje - Krško	3:1
Slovenian PrvaLiga
16.07.16	Rudar Velenje - Krško	1:1
27.04.16	Krško - Rudar Velenje	1:1

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