Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 25

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Ksar		Tevragh-Zeina

	1	X	2
	3.99	2.94	2.01	Watch
	3.9	2.91	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (2.76)	2.93 ↓ (3.23)	2.05 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ksar
23.4%

Draw
31.5%

Tevragh-Zeina
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

28.4%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

28.8%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ksar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ksar's form might have worsened.

Tevragh-Zeina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tevragh-Zeina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ksar than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ksar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tevragh-Zeina than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tevragh-Zeina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ksar won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ksar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ksar won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7:17 (average 0.6:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ksar won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:11 (average 0.8:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACS Ksar
Mauritania Ligue 1
04.04.25	Al-Merreikh - Ksar	2:3 ✺
17.03.25	Inter Nouakchott - Ksar	0:0 ✺
11.03.25	Ksar - Douanes Nouakchott	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	Ksar - Pompier	1:0 ✺
20.02.25	Ksar - Nouakchott Kings	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 WTLWT
- FC Tevragh-Zeina
Mauritania Ligue 1
16.03.25	Tevragh-Zeina - Garde Nationale	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Toulde - Tevragh-Zeina	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Tevragh-Zeina - Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman	0:1 ✺
20.02.25	Tevragh-Zeina - Gendrim	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Nouadhibou - Tevragh-Zeina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Mauritania Ligue 1
07.12.24	Tevragh-Zeina - Ksar	1:0
29.12.23	Ksar - Tevragh-Zeina	1:3
04.03.23	Tevragh-Zeina - Ksar	2:0
29.10.22	Ksar - Tevragh-Zeina	1:1
10.05.22	Ksar - Tevragh-Zeina	1:2
21.12.21	Tevragh-Zeina - Ksar	1:0
06.04.21	Tevragh-Zeina - Ksar	0:1

Ksar - Tevragh-Zeina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide