Match Info

MAURITANIA: Ligue 1 - Round 22

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Tevragh-Zeina		Garde Nationale

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.22	5.24	Watch
	2.02	3.01	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.59)	3.12 ↓ (3.4)	4.59 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tevragh-Zeina
49.9%

Draw
29.8%

Garde Nationale
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

26.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

19.6%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tevragh-Zeina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tevragh-Zeina's form might have worsened.

Garde Nationale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tevragh-Zeina than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tevragh-Zeina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garde Nationale than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Tevragh Zeina - Garde Nationale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, ⚽,
71', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tevragh-Zeina won 3.

Recent matches Tevragh-Zeina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Garde Nationale is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Tevragh-Zeina is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Tevragh-Zeina won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.1:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Tevragh-Zeina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tevragh-Zeina
Mauritania Ligue 1
11.03.25	Toulde - Tevragh-Zeina	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Tevragh-Zeina - Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman	0:1 ✺
20.02.25	Tevragh-Zeina - Gendrim	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Nouadhibou - Tevragh-Zeina	1:1 ✺
07.02.25	Pompier - Tevragh-Zeina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLTT
- AS Garde Nationale
Mauritania Ligue 1
09.03.25	Garde Nationale - Al-Merreikh	0:1 ✺
05.03.25	Nzeidane - Garde Nationale	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Garde Nationale - Inter Nouakchott	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Douanes Nouakchott - Garde Nationale	3:2 ✺
15.02.25	Garde Nationale - SNIM	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Mauritania Ligue 1
08.11.24	Garde Nationale - Tevragh-Zeina	1:3
26.09.23	Garde Nationale - Tevragh-Zeina	1:0
26.02.23	Tevragh-Zeina - Garde Nationale	1:0
23.10.22	Garde Nationale - Tevragh-Zeina	0:1
24.10.21	Tevragh-Zeina - Garde Nationale	0:1
14.02.20	Garde Nationale - Tevragh-Zeina	0:1
16.09.19	Tevragh-Zeina - Garde Nationale	2:1

Tevragh-Zeina - Garde Nationale: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide