Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 10

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Kumla		Herrestads

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.5	2.3
	2.7	3.31	2.28
	2.81	3.26	2.36	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.25
	2.75	3.3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.68)	3.29 ↓ (3.75)	2.3 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kumla
33.1%

Draw
27.5%

Herrestads
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

24.5%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

23.5%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kumla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Herrestads has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kumla than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herrestads than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Kumla - Herrestads Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kumla won 0.

Recent form of Kumla has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Herrestad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kumla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:18. (average 0.5:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kumla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.3:3.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Herrestads AIF	24	10	7	7	44:42	2	37
11	Kumla	24	6	7	11	23:42	-19	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Kumla
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
22.05.26	IFK Skövde - Kumla	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Kumla - Skara	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Karlstad II - Kumla	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Husqvarna - Kumla	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Kumla - Vänersborgs FK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTLT
- Herrestads AIF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
22.05.26	Herrestads - Vänersborgs FK	1:1 ✺
13.05.26	Ahlafors - Herrestads	5:0 ✺
08.05.26	Herrestads - Stenungsunds	4:1 ✺
01.05.26	Tord - Herrestads	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Herrestads - Lidkoping	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
18.10.25	Herrestads - Kumla	5:0
26.04.25	Kumla - Herrestads	0:3
03.08.24	Kumla - Herrestads	0:4
29.03.24	Herrestads - Kumla	2:1
04.09.22	Herrestads - Kumla	1:1
15.05.22	Kumla - Herrestads	1:3

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