Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 8

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday


	Ahlafors		Herrestads

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.7	3.25
	1.93	3.66	2.98
	2	3.8	3.09	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.63
	2	3.62	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.34)	3.66 ↑ (3.6)	3.01 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ahlafors
44.9%

Draw
24.9%

Herrestads
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

25.4%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

25.5%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ahlafors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ahlafors's performance.

Herrestads has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Herrestads might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ahlafors than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ahlafors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herrestads than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Herrestads could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ahlafors - Herrestads Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', 3 - 0, ⚽,
58', 4 - 0, ⚽,
82', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ahlafors won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ahlafors won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ahlafors won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ahlafors IF	24	12	7	5	55:28	27	43
6	Herrestads AIF	24	10	7	7	44:42	2	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ahlafors IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
09.05.26	Grebbestad - Ahlafors	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Ahlafors - IFK Skövde	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	Motala - Ahlafors	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Ahlafors - Vänersborgs IF	3:0 ✺
10.04.26	Ahlafors - Vänersborgs FK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWT
- Herrestads AIF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
08.05.26	Herrestads - Stenungsunds	4:1 ✺
01.05.26	Tord - Herrestads	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Herrestads - Lidkoping	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Grebbestad - Herrestads	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Herrestads - Skara	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
04.10.25	Herrestads - Ahlafors	4:0
13.04.25	Ahlafors - Herrestads	2:0
13.09.24	Ahlafors - Herrestads	2:1
17.05.24	Herrestads - Ahlafors	2:0
26.08.22	Ahlafors - Herrestads	2:0
06.05.22	Herrestads - Ahlafors	1:1

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