The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kuressaare 31.9%
Draw 25.4%
Nõmme United 42.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.3%
25.5%
42.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
25%
41.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kuressaare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Nõmme United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Kuressaare - Nõmme United Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nõmme United (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Nomm K. (C) 23. Saar R. 36. Piil R. 21. Lukka M. 27. Prunn S. 5. Sinilaid S. 8. Andreas D. 17. Roivassepp G. 77. Demidov E. 11. Jurisoo T. 10. Kivi A.
1. Lagus G. (G) 55. Chanda R. 26. Oostenbrink K. 6. Palts M. 8. Vain B. 24. Kabal G. 10. Frolov A. (C) 45. Jarvelaid H. 49. Beglarishvili Z. 16. Dacosta O. 20. Matas K.
Substitutes
18. Dzemesjuk M. 44. Joost O. 37. Leivategija M. 72. Lohmus R. 25. Lonks J. 28. Lukas R. 22. Ristna S. (G) 80. Tarkmeel R. 13. Visse A.
11. Chisala B. 31. Kaspar A. 23. Laanelaid K. 3. Merilai S. 71. Purg G. (G) 22. Radomskiy A. 13. Truuvaart A.
Coaches
Post S.
Cisakowski S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Demidov E. ⚽,
16', 🟨,
18', 2 - 0, Oostenbrink K. (Own goal),
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Palts M. ↓, Laanelaid K. ↑,
46', Kabal G. ↓, Chisala B. ↑,
67', Roivassepp G. ↓, Leivategija M. ↑,
73', Chanda R. 🟨,
73', Jarvelaid H. ↓, Merilai S. ↑,
73', 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Frolov A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Chanda R. ↓, Truuvaart A. ↑,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 9 in the zone Meistriliiga (Relegation) and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 2.
Kuressaare has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Nõmme United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Kuressaare may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Kuressaare won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).
Estonia
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Nomm K. (C) 
Chanda R. 
Oostenbrink K. 
Beglarishvili Z. 
Dacosta O. 
Cisakowski S. 
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