Match Info

Date: 7 May 2022, Saturday


	Kutno		Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.71
	4.1	3.55	1.71
	4.03	3.55	1.71
	3.7	3.52	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.26)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	1.74 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kutno
22.7%

Draw
25.5%

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

25.2%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

25%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kutno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kutno's form might have worsened.

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kutno than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kutno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 3).

Kutno is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Świt is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kutno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kutno won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Kutno
Polish Division 3 - Group I
01.05.22	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Kutno	1:2 ✺
27.04.22	Kutno - Błonianka Błonie	1:1 ✺
23.04.22	Polonia Warsaw - Kutno	5:0 ✺
09.04.22	Kutno - Wissa Szczuczyn	0:1 ✺
02.04.22	Kutno - Legionovia Legionowo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTLLL
- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
01.05.22	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	3:1 ✺
27.04.22	Ursus Warszawa - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:0 ✺
16.04.22	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:3 ✺
13.04.22	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Błonianka Błonie - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.10.21	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Kutno	2:2
17.10.20	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Kutno	3:0

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