Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 2 - NORRA SVEALAND - ROUND 12

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday


	Kvarnsvedens		Järfälla

	1	X	2
	10.5	6	1.19
	10.47	6.41	1.21
	8.5	5	1.29
	11.25	6.65	1.18
	12	6	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.54 ↑ (7.75)	6.01 ↑ (5)	1.21 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kvarnsvedens
8.7%

Draw
15.3%

Järfälla
75.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.7%

18.2%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11%

17.2%

74.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kvarnsvedens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Järfälla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Järfälla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kvarnsvedens than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Järfälla than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Kvarnsvedens has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Järfälla in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kvarnsvedens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Järfälla is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kvarnsvedens won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Kvarnsvedens won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kvarnsvedens IK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
04.06.23	Viggbyholm - Kvarnsvedens	4:2 ✺
27.05.23	Kvarnsvedens - Hudiksvall	1:3 ✺
21.05.23	Kungsängen - Kvarnsvedens	3:1 ✺
13.05.23	Kvarnsvedens - Skiljebo	2:5 ✺
06.05.23	Karlberg - Kvarnsvedens	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Järfälla
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
11.06.23	Järfälla - Hudiksvall	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	Kungsängen - Järfälla	1:3 ✺
28.05.23	Järfälla - Skiljebo	2:2 ✺
18.05.23	Karlberg - Järfälla	0:1 ✺
13.05.23	Järfälla - Uppsala	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
25.09.22	Järfälla - Kvarnsvedens	6:0
26.05.22	Kvarnsvedens - Järfälla	2:2
27.11.21	Järfälla - Kvarnsvedens	0:0
28.08.21	Kvarnsvedens - Järfälla	1:2

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