Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 8

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadshagens IP (Vasastaden)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Karlberg		Järfälla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.95	4.35	Watch
	1.61	4.14	4.57
	1.63	4.34	4.46	Watch
	1.62	3.7	4.33
	1.58	3.94	4.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.8)	4.01 ↑ (3.78)	4.48 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Karlberg
56.7%

Draw
22.9%

Järfälla
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

24.3%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

23.3%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karlberg's performance.

Järfälla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlberg than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Järfälla than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Karlberg - Järfälla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Bojang E. (G) 17. Aslund H. 7. Fernandez H. 5. Geiger N. 19. Jemal A. 11. Mitku M. 8. Negash N. 2. Nieminen Eriksson F. 18. Rupia-Ellis A. (C) 3. Steen V. 13. Sundgren R.	30. von Feilitzen E. (G) 3. Akdemir N. 4. Aksoy Y. 17. Khalil A. 5. Mazanti Nyberg F. 8. Medhin T N. 11. Ogestad O. 21. Rajamohan A. 6. Saweris P. (C) 15. Tinnborg H. 9. Wurtz A.
Substitutes
14. Fati A. 15. Hall V. 25. Hogberg F. 9. Jamshidi A. 31. Okungbowa L. 24. Sietsema L. 16. Vainio N.	19. Dahir K. 20. Drugge E. 7. Fox C. 1. Liantas C. (G) 12. Markovski D. 22. Moller O. 27. Taylan M. E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
14', 🟨,
21', 🟨,
31', 0 - 2, ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,
90+9', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Relegation (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Karlberg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Järfälla has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Karlberg is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Karlberg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Karlberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Karlbergs	25	9	5	11	33:41	-8	32
15	Jarfalla	25	5	4	16	33:55	-22	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlbergs BK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
13.05.26	Arlanda - Karlberg	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Karlberg - Karlstad	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Umeå - Karlberg	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Karlberg - Gefle	3:2 ✺
19.04.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Karlberg	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTLWW
- FC Järfälla
Swedish Division 1 Norra
13.05.26	Järfälla - Enköping	0:3 ✺
09.05.26	FBK Karlstad - Järfälla	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Järfälla	3:3 ✺
26.04.26	Järfälla - Piteå	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Karlstad - Järfälla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
17.09.23	Järfälla - Karlberg	1:1
18.05.23	Karlberg - Järfälla	0:1
17.10.21	Järfälla - Karlberg	1:3
14.08.21	Karlberg - Järfälla	6:1

Upcoming Matches