Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Kyzyltash		FC Sevastopol

	1	X	2
	4.29	3.18	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (3.05)	3.18 ↑ (2.9)	1.81 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyzyltash
21.2%

Draw
28.6%

FC Sevastopol
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

31.3%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

31.9%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyzyltash has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kyzyltash's form might have worsened.

FC Sevastopol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FC Sevastopol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyzyltash than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kyzyltash, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Sevastopol than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FC Sevastopol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kyzyltash - FC Sevastopol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Lazarev V. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 2, Ivanov D. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sevastopol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sevastopol might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Sevastopol	24	19	2	3	44:18	26	59
7	Kyzyltash	24	11	4	9	41:34	7	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFK Kyzyltash
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
16.05.26	Rubin Yalta - Kyzyltash	5:2 ✺
10.05.26	Kyzyltash - Dinskaya	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Kyzyltash - Rostov 2	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Zarya - Kyzyltash	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Kyzyltash - Astrakhan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLTW
- FC Sevastopol
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
16.05.26	FC Sevastopol - Dinskaya	2:2 ✺
08.05.26	Rubin Yalta - FC Sevastopol	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	FC Sevastopol - Chayka 2	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - FC Sevastopol	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	FC Sevastopol - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLWTW

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