Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 8

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Käerjéng 97		Progrès Niedercorn

	1	X	2
	5.8	4.6	1.46
	1.00	1.00	1.02	Watch
	6.26	4.45	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↓ (6.26)	3.35 ↓ (4.34)	1.29 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Käerjéng 97
17.7%

Draw
22.9%

Progrès Niedercorn
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

21.1%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

20.5%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Käerjéng 97 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Progrès Niedercorn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Käerjéng 97 than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progrès Niedercorn than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Progrès Niedercorn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Käerjéng 97 - Progrès Niedercorn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Plumereau T. (G) 10. Barbaro V. (C) 19. Bellali Y. 29. Boutrif I. 20. Ewert T. 3. Gerson L. 13. Lecomte E. 9. Mabwati I. 21. Moutschen R. 16. Povoa D. 5. Ubaldini G.	1. Flauss S. (G) 8. Ahmetxhekaj D. 80. Avdusinovic K. 19. Bouche Y. 13. Cisse S. 23. Duarte C. 28. Guett A. 26. Hend B. 71. Hoxha F. 10. Natami O. 27. Peugnet V. (C)
Substitutes
14. Bayilu Bonyonya J. 11. Dieye A. 6. Ewert N. 30. Klein B. 7. Maison B. 25. Ragnacci T. 26. Schroeder T.	18. Boesen V. 17. Camara M. 9. Chambon H. 11. Gilgemann M. 50. Ndenge K. (G) 76. Nigro S. 7. Schmid J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', Boutrif I. (Pen),
4', 1 - 0, Gerson L. ⚽, Povoa D. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Avdusinovic K. ⚽, Hend B. (A),
33', 1 - 2, Peugnet V. ⚽, Natami O. (A),
38', 2 - 2, Bellali Y. ⚽, Barbaro V. (A),
43', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 2 - 3, Avdusinovic K. ⚽,
62', Moutschen R. ↓, Dieye A. ↑,
65', 3 - 3, Mabwati I. ⚽, Dieye A. (A),
66', 3 - 4, Avdusinovic K. ⚽,
68', Mabwati I. 🟨,
75', Bouche Y. ↓, Boesen V. ↑,
76', Ahmetxhekaj D. ↓, Gilgemann M. ↑,
76', Barbaro V. ↓, Maison B. ↑,
80', Moutschen R. 🟨,
83', Moutschen R. 🟨,
84', 🟨,
86', Guett A. 🟨,
88', Ewert T. ↓, Bayilu Bonyonya J. ↑,
88', Lecomte E. ↓, Schroeder T. ↑,
89', Hoxha F. ↓, Schmid J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Käerjéng 97 won 1.

Recent form of Käerjéng 97 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Progrès Niedercorn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Progrès Niedercorn is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Käerjéng 97 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Käerjéng 97 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Käerjéng 97
Luxembourg National Division
13.09.25	Käerjéng 97 - Pétange	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Victoria Rosport - Käerjéng 97	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Käerjéng 97 - Swift Hesperange	0:3 ✺
17.08.25	Mondorf-les-Bains - Käerjéng 97	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Käerjéng 97 - F91 Dudelange	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLLL
- Progrès Niedercorn
Luxembourg National Division
13.09.25	Progrès Niedercorn - UNA Strassen	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Pétange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Victoria Rosport	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Swift Hesperange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:4 ✺
09.08.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
28.04.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Käerjéng 97	2:0
12.11.23	Käerjéng 97 - Progrès Niedercorn	2:0
19.02.23	Progrès Niedercorn - Käerjéng 97	1:0
Luxembourg Cup
30.10.22	Progrès Niedercorn - Käerjéng 97	1:0
Luxembourg National Division
21.08.22	Käerjéng 97 - Progrès Niedercorn	1:1
05.03.17	Käerjéng 97 - Progrès Niedercorn	2:4
12.09.16	Progrès Niedercorn - Käerjéng 97	0:2

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