Match Info
Luxembourg Cup - Semi-finalsDate: 13 May 2026, Wednesday
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Progrès Niedercorn |
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Victoria Rosport |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.78 |
3.7 |
3.55 |
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 |
1.75 |
3.53 |
3.88 |
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1.00 |
11.97 |
25.00 |
 Watch |
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1.8 |
3.25 |
3.8 |
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1.88 |
4.07 |
3.44 |
Watch |
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2.2 |
3.7 |
2.68 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(2.2) |
5.04 ↑
(3.7) |
7.06 ↑
(2.68) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Progrès Niedercorn
62.9% | Draw
21.7% | Victoria Rosport
15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Progrès Niedercorn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Progrès Niedercorn's performance.Victoria Rosport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Victoria Rosport might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progrès Niedercorn than the current prediction. (-18.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Progrès Niedercorn that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria Rosport than the current prediction. (+16.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Victoria Rosport could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Progrès Niedercorn - Victoria Rosport Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Duarte C. ⚽, Vion T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 60', 2 - 0, Corral K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 87', 2 - 1, Marques K. ⚽,
- 89', 2 - 2, Ferreira A. ⚽,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 4)
- 1, Steinbach J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Socras C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Brkljaca M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Bouche Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Marques K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Haxha F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Villeneuve J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progrès Niedercorn won 1.Recent performances by Progrès Niedercorn have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Victoria Rosport is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Progrès Niedercorn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Progrès Niedercorn won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 45:28. (average 2.3:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Progrès Niedercorn won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:14. (average 2.2:1.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Luxembourg National Division | | | 22.02.26 | Victoria Rosport - Progrès Niedercorn | 2:1 | | 24.08.25 | Progrès Niedercorn - Victoria Rosport | 0:1 | | 25.08.24 | Progrès Niedercorn - Victoria Rosport | 2:1 | | 10.03.24 | Victoria Rosport - Progrès Niedercorn | 3:1 | | 17.09.23 | Progrès Niedercorn - Victoria Rosport | 1:1 | | 26.02.23 | Victoria Rosport - Progrès Niedercorn | 2:3 | | 28.08.22 | Progrès Niedercorn - Victoria Rosport | 1:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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