Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Köln II		Rödinghausen

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.45	2
	3.39	3.52	2.01
	3.33	3.46	2.01
	3.35	3.38	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.42)	3.45 ↑ (3.4)	2 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln II
27.5%

Draw
26.6%

Rödinghausen
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

26.9%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

26.1%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Köln II's form might have worsened.

Rödinghausen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rödinghausen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln II than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Köln II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rödinghausen than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rödinghausen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Köln II - Rödinghausen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Probst E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
86', 1 - 1, Ajani M. ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Ajani M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Köln II won 2.

Köln II has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rödinghausen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Köln II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Köln II won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:44. (average 1.1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Köln II won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.4:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Koln II	10	4	2	4	19:18	1	14
16	Rodinghausen	11	2	3	6	15:20	-5	9

Last Results with these Odds

Köln II - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.82%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. Köln II
German Regionalliga West
25.04.26	Velbert - Köln II	3:3 ✺
17.04.26	Köln II - Fortuna Köln	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Bonner - Köln II	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Köln II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Siegen - Köln II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWLLL
- SV Rödinghausen
German Regionalliga West
26.04.26	Rödinghausen - Schalke 04 II	3:3 ✺
18.04.26	Borussia Dortmund II - Rödinghausen	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Bocholt - Rödinghausen	0:4 ✺
04.04.26	Rödinghausen - Velbert	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Sportfreunde Lotte - Rödinghausen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
08.11.25	Rödinghausen - Köln II	2:3
02.03.25	Köln II - Rödinghausen	1:0
14.09.24	Rödinghausen - Köln II	2:0
09.03.24	Köln II - Rödinghausen	0:3
23.09.23	Rödinghausen - Köln II	1:0
26.11.22	Köln II - Rödinghausen	2:2
23.07.22	Rödinghausen - Köln II	5:0

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