Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 5 - Round 20

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday


	Lørenskog		Spjelkavik

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.5	8.5
	1.26	5.49	6.43
	1.23	6.1	8.35
	1.28	5.5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.39)	5.65 ↑ (5.1)	7.95 ↑ (5.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lørenskog
72.3%

Draw
16.2%

Spjelkavik
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

17.8%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

16.8%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lørenskog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lørenskog's performance.

Spjelkavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spjelkavik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lørenskog than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spjelkavik than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Lørenskog - Spjelkavik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Navarsete H. S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
62', 2 - 0, Kastrati F. ⚽,
83', 3 - 0, Kastrati F. ⚽,
90', 4 - 0, Steine E. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 8).

Lørenskog in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Spjelkavik is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Lørenskog is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lørenskog to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lørenskog won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Lørenskog won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lørenskog IK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
31.08.24	Skedsmo - Lørenskog	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Lørenskog - Funnefoss Vormsund	4:2 ✺
17.08.24	Gjelleråsen - Lørenskog	0:4 ✺
10.08.24	Lørenskog - Kristiansund 2	4:2 ✺
03.08.24	Bjørkelangen Høland - Lørenskog	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW
- Spjelkavik IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
31.08.24	Spjelkavik - Bjørkelangen Høland	4:3 ✺
24.08.24	Kristiansund 2 - Spjelkavik	3:2 ✺
18.08.24	Spjelkavik - Molde 2	2:2 ✺
10.08.24	Lokomotiv Oslo - Spjelkavik	3:2 ✺
04.08.24	Spjelkavik - Aalesunds 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
17.08.19	Spjelkavik - Lørenskog	0:2
08.06.19	Lørenskog - Spjelkavik	2:2

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