Match Info

Date: 9 May 2021, Sunday


	LHospitalet		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	2.8	3.2	2.3
	2.65	2.85	2.6
	2.95	3.05	2.63
	3	2.9	2.38
	2.75	3.1	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.1)	3.03 ↓ (3.17)	2.42 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LHospitalet
31.9%

Draw
30.2%

Peña Deportiva
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

28.4%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

22.1%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LHospitalet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LHospitalet than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LHospitalet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peña Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

LHospitalet - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

L'Hospitalet is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Peña Deportiva is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Peña Deportiva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches L'Hospitalet won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE LHospitalet
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
02.05.21	Orihuela - LHospitalet	5:2 ✺
25.04.21	Valencia B - LHospitalet	1:1 ✺
17.04.21	LHospitalet - Atzeneta	0:1 ✺
11.04.21	Peña Deportiva - LHospitalet	2:0 ✺
04.04.21	LHospitalet - Orihuela	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLLW
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
25.04.21	Peña Deportiva - Olot	2:1 ✺
11.04.21	Peña Deportiva - LHospitalet	2:0 ✺
04.04.21	Prat - Peña Deportiva	1:2 ✺
21.03.21	Peña Deportiva - Atzeneta	0:2 ✺
14.03.21	Ibiza - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.04.21	Peña Deportiva - LHospitalet	2:0

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