Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 12

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Prat		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.8	2.35
	3.15	3	2.25
	3.25	3	2.14
	3.77	2.93	2.15
	3.1	2.8	2.3
	3.55	3.06	2.06
	3.4	3.1	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↓ (4.08)	2.96 ↓ (3.5)	2.19 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Prat
27.6%

Draw
30.8%

Peña Deportiva
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

25.9%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

25%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Prat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Prat's performance.

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peña Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prat than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Prat that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peña Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Prat - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Peña Deportiva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Peña Deportiva will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Prat won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Prat won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AE Prat
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
20.11.22	Valencia B - Prat	4:0 ✺
06.11.22	Prat - Ebro	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Teruel - Prat	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Prat - Espanyol B	2:1 ✺
16.10.22	Atlético Saguntino - Prat	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTTWL
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
20.11.22	Peña Deportiva - Badalona Futur	5:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Peña Deportiva - Málaga	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.11.22	Mallorca B - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Peña Deportiva - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2:1 ✺
23.10.22	Hércules - Peña Deportiva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
20.02.22	Prat - Peña Deportiva	1:0
03.10.21	Peña Deportiva - Prat	1:0
19.05.21	Peña Deportiva - Prat	1:1
04.04.21	Prat - Peña Deportiva	1:2

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