Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój		Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.40	3.40
	1.92	3.25	3.30
	1.98	3.29	3.30
	2.28	3.38	2.79	Watch
	1.96	3.25	3.25
	1.90	3.70	3.50	Watch
	1.78	3.95	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.04)	3.46 ↑ (3.3)	3.3 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój
46.3%

Draw
26.2%

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

27%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

27.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

LKS Goczałkowice Zdrój - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Dzida T. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 2 - 0, Niedbala J. ⚽,
60', 3 - 0, Niedbala J. ⚽,
74', 3 - 1, Rybicki K. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 14th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Goczałkowice-Zdrój won 5.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Goczałkowice-Zdrój is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Goczałkowice-Zdrój has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:12 (averaging 1.8:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Goczałkowice-Zdrój against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 13:6 goals (averaging 2.2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Warta Gorzow	11	3	5	3	11:17	-6	14
14	Goczalkowice Zdroj	11	3	2	6	11:16	-5	11

Last Results with these Odds

LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 43.72%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.25%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój
Polish Division 3 - Group III
12.09.26	Miedź Legnica 2 - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Kluczbork	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Raków Częstochowa II - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Polonia Nysa	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Sparta Katowice - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTWL
- Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
Polish Division 3 - Group III
12.09.26	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Stal Brzeg	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	0:1 ✺
19.08.26	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - Polkowice	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
25.04.26	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	1:2
04.10.25	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:1
18.04.25	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:1
21.09.24	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:0
02.03.24	LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	3:2
12.08.23	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	3:2
15.04.23	Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	1:0

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