Match Info

UKRAINE: Premier League - Round 10

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Cherkasy)

Referee: Nazarii G. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Croatia	GONET.TV
Czech-republic	goNET TV
Poland	GONETV
Slovakia	goNET TV
Spain	LaLiga+


	LNZ Cherkasy		Inhulets

	1	X	2
	1.61	4	5
	1.57	4	5.5
	1.58	4.13	4.95
	1.59	4.16	5.13	Watch
	1.57	3.9	4.8
	1.64	4.3	5.25	Watch
	1.6	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.69)	4.07 ↑ (3.65)	5.09 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LNZ Cherkasy
58.7%

Draw
23%

Inhulets
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

25.2%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

20.9%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LNZ Cherkasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Inhulets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LNZ Cherkasy than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LNZ Cherkasy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inhulets than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inhulets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

LNZ Cherkasy - Inhulets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kucherenko Y. (G) 33. Putrya I. 5. Salihu H. 4. Dajko A. 34. Muravskyi N. (C) 23. Topalov D. 55. Nonikashvili S. 15. Jashari M. 1. Thill O. 19. Khalaila O. 22. Momoh F.	12. Palamarchuk O. (G) 4. Dubilei V. 45. Vilivald V. 2. Malysh S. 91. Melnychuk M. 97. Rezepov D. 6. Losenko I. 20. Volokhatyi R. 8. Pyatov O. 22. Bilotserkovets V. 17. Sitalo A. (C)
Substitutes
6. Angelov M. 9. Avagymyan A. 8. Bar A. 20. Bessala M. 10. Boyko V. 70. Naumets V. 17. Norenkov D. 16. Oliynyk D. 11. Pasich G. 94. Penkov G. (G) 72. Samoylenko K. (G)	10. Kozak O. 7. Kozyrenko Y. 99. Kyslenko S. 19. Lisnyak R. 59. Mogylnyi B. 33. Mysyk M. 32. Petko S. 9. Pushkaryov O. 18. Sad V. 23. Shershen M. 26. Sydorenko V. 36. Zhylkin A. (G)
Coaches
Carrasco A.	Kobin V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Nonikashvili S. (Pen),
35', 1 - 0, Putrya I. ⚽,
45', Melnychuk M. (Pen),
45+1', Dajko A. 🟨,
45+1', Volokhatyi R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 2 - 0, Putrya I. ⚽,
68', Rezepov D. 🟨,
69', Muravskyi N. 🟨,
69', Losenko I. ↓, Kyslenko S. ↑,
69', Rezepov D. ↓, Pushkaryov O. ↑,
69', Sitalo A. ↓, Sad V. ↑,
72', Sad V. 🟨,
76', Khalaila O. ↓, Boyko V. ↑,
79', Pyatov O. ↓, Kozyrenko Y. ↑,
81', Jashari M. ↓, Avagymyan A. ↑,
81', Topalov D. ↓, Pasich G. ↑,
88', Bilotserkovets V. ↓, Mogylnyi B. ↑,
89', Momoh F. 🟨,
90+1', Thill O. ↓, Oliynyk D. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

LNZ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match LNZ is a favorite.

There will not play in LNZ: Assinor M. (Knee Injury) Kapliyenko O. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in LNZ: Eynel Soares (Knee Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches LNZ won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams LNZ won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LNZ Cherkasy
Ukrainian Premier League
06.10.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - LNZ Cherkasy	5:1 ✺
28.09.24	LNZ Cherkasy - Chornomorets Odesa	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Polissya Zhytomyr - LNZ Cherkasy	1:1 ✺
16.09.24	Kolos Kovalivka - LNZ Cherkasy	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Dynamo Kyiv - LNZ Cherkasy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTTTL
- Inhulets Petrovo
Ukrainian Premier League
04.10.24	Karpaty Lviv - Inhulets	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Obolon - Inhulets	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Veres Rivne - Inhulets	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Chornomorets Odesa - Inhulets	1:0 ✺
30.08.24	Rukh Lviv - Inhulets	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.07.24	LNZ Cherkasy - Inhulets	0:0
Ukrainian Premier League
14.06.23	LNZ Cherkasy - Inhulets	2:1
10.06.23	Inhulets - LNZ Cherkasy	1:1
Ukrainian Cup
22.09.21	LNZ Cherkasy - Inhulets	2:1

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