Match Info

UKRAINE: Premier League - Round 8

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Referee: Raida M. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	GONET.TV
Czech-republic	goNET TV
Poland	GONETV
Slovakia	goNET TV
Spain	LaLiga+
World	Onefootball app


	Obolon		Inhulets

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.85	3
	2.6	2.7	3.2
	2.62	2.77	3.2
	2.54	2.82	3.16	Watch
	2.38	2.8	3.1
	2.69	2.82	3.28	Watch
	2.6	2.7	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.48)	2.78 ↓ (3.07)	3.16 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Obolon
36.5%

Draw
33.8%

Inhulets
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

30%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

29.6%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Obolon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Inhulets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inhulets than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Obolon - Inhulets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fedorivsky N. (C) 11. Grysyo M. 3. Pryimak V. 37. Dubko V. 15. Stasyuk P. 44. Vitenchuk V. 9. Medynskyi I. 25. Grusha V. 17. Chernenko R. 55. Sukhanov S. 7. Bliznichenko V.	12. Palamarchuk O. (G) 2. Malysh S. 23. Shershen M. 45. Vilivald V. 91. Melnychuk M. 9. Pushkaryov O. 20. Volokhatyi R. 8. Pyatov O. 10. Kozak O. (C) 18. Sad V. 99. Kyslenko S.
Substitutes
2. Karas D. 95. Kurko V. 32. Lomnytskyi A. 16. Lukyanchuk P. 90. Lyakh T. 31. Marchenko D. (G) 4. Moroz T. 5. Osman O. 23. Rybka O. (G) 10. Slobodyan O. 8. Taranukha R. 99. Teslyuk D.	22. Bilotserkovets V. 11. Bogunov Y. 4. Dubilei V. 7. Kozyrenko Y. 19. Lisnyak R. 6. Losenko I. 59. Mogylnyi B. 33. Mysyk M. 97. Rezepov D. 26. Sydorenko V. 36. Zhylkin A. (G)
Coaches
Shishenko S.	Kobin V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Vilivald V. 🟨,
37', Chernenko R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kyslenko S. ↓, Rezepov D. ↑,
58', Pushkaryov O. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Grusha V. ⚽,
61', Sukhanov S. ↓, Taranukha R. ↑,
65', Stasyuk P. ↓, Osman O. ↑,
69', Pushkaryov O. ↓, Bogunov Y. ↑,
69', Sad V. ↓, Kozyrenko Y. ↑,
72', Melnychuk M. 🟨,
80', Kozak O. 🟨,
82', Melnychuk M. ↓, Mysyk M. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Bliznichenko V. ⚽,
86', Pyatov O. ↓, Lisnyak R. ↑,
89', Vitenchuk V. ↓, Moroz T. ↑,
89', Grysyo M. ↓, Karas D. ↑,
89', Grusha V. ↓, Kurko V. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Kozak O. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
90+5', Pryimak V. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', Mysyk M. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Obolon won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

Recently Inhulets have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Obolon won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Obolon won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Obolon Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
23.09.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Obolon	4:0 ✺
13.09.24	Obolon - Oleksandriya	0:0 ✺
30.08.24	Obolon - Zorya Luhansk	0:2 ✺
25.08.24	Polissya Zhytomyr - Obolon	4:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
21.08.24	Kolos Kovalivka - Obolon	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTLLW
- Inhulets Petrovo
Ukrainian Premier League
22.09.24	Veres Rivne - Inhulets	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Chornomorets Odesa - Inhulets	1:0 ✺
30.08.24	Rukh Lviv - Inhulets	5:0 ✺
25.08.24	Kryvbas - Inhulets	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
21.08.24	Probiy Horodenka - Inhulets	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
30.07.20	Obolon - Inhulets	1:1
06.10.19	Inhulets - Obolon	2:0
10.05.19	Inhulets - Obolon	3:2
14.10.18	Obolon - Inhulets	1:1
30.03.18	Obolon - Inhulets	1:0
26.08.17	Inhulets - Obolon	0:0
13.11.16	Obolon - Inhulets	4:1

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