Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 14

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday


	La Calzada		River Ebro

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.5	4
	1.63	3.4	4.1
	1.65	3.45	4.3
	1.65	3.56	4.45
	1.76	3.5	4.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.66)	3.48 ↑ (3.34)	4.22 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Calzada
53.1%

Draw
25.7%

River Ebro
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

26%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

23.5%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

River Ebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Ebro than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

La Calzada - River Ebro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs) and 12).

La Calzada is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

River Ebro has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

La Calzada could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match La Calzada is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches La Calzada won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams La Calzada won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDFC La Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
08.12.22	Racing Rioja B - La Calzada	1:3 ✺
04.12.22	La Calzada - Anguiano	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Agoncillo - La Calzada	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	La Calzada - Peña Balsamaiso	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Casalarreina - La Calzada	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLWW
- CA River Ebro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
11.12.22	River Ebro - Berceo	3:4 ✺
04.12.22	River Ebro - Varea	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Racing Rioja B - River Ebro	3:0 ✺
20.11.22	River Ebro - Anguiano	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	Agoncillo - River Ebro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
23.01.22	La Calzada - River Ebro	1:0
02.02.20	River Ebro - La Calzada	0:1

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