Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 11

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	River Ebro		Varea

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.4	2
	2.98	3.65	2
	2.98	3.65	2
	3.1	3.32	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.99)	3.51 ↑ (3.44)	2.02 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Ebro
29.9%

Draw
25.6%

Varea
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

26%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

26%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Ebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Ebro's performance.

Varea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Ebro than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Ebro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varea than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches River Ebro won 0.

River Ebro is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Varea is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

River Ebro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently River Ebro have a series of guest games.

In this match Varea is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches River Ebro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 8-17.

Including matches at home between the teams River Ebro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA River Ebro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
12.11.23	Haro Deportivo - River Ebro	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Anguiano - River Ebro	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	River Ebro - Arnedo	2:1 ✺
15.10.23	Alberite - River Ebro	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Oyonesa - River Ebro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWWWL
- CD Varea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
12.11.23	Varea - Calahorra B	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Tedeón - Varea	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.23	Varea - Levante	0:3 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
28.10.23	Varea - Peña Balsamaiso	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Vianés - Varea	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
02.04.23	Varea - River Ebro	3:1
04.12.22	River Ebro - Varea	0:1
26.02.22	River Ebro - Varea	1:2
17.10.21	Varea - River Ebro	3:2
23.02.20	Varea - River Ebro	2:0
06.10.19	River Ebro - Varea	1:2
15.09.18	Varea - River Ebro	1:3

River Ebro - Varea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide