Match Info

Liga Women - Round 10

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)


	La Equidad		Atlético Nacional

	1	X	2
	4	3.2	1.86
	4.2	3.12	1.85
	4.16	3.24	1.85	Watch
	4.18	3.14	1.85	Watch
	4	3.2	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.45)	3.18 ↑ (3.05)	1.85 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Equidad
22.2%

Draw
28.7%

Atlético Nacional
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

29.6%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

30.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Equidad than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

La Equidad - Atlético Nacional Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Murillo K. (G) 15. Amaya A. 13. Casamachin L. 19. Guisamano M. J. 2. Lambrano D. 4. Medina B. 17. Moreno L. 11. Rodriguez Y. 20. Russi C. 8. Valbuena P. 10. Vidal I. (C)	22. Castano S. (G) 8. Cardona G. 4. Garcia S. 9. Gonzalez M. 7. Martinez S. 10. Neira M. 20. Ocampo L. 14. Osorio K. 27. Valencia K. 15. Vidal K. 3. Zambrano A.
Substitutes
6. Caicedo L. 27. Gaviria D. 3. Gutierrez N. 18. Moreno C. 16. Motta A. 12. Sepulveda S. (G) 5. Siso K.	13. Aguirre L. 19. Mosquera M. 12. Ospino Serna S. 79. Restrepo K. 18. Sterling M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Vidal I. 🟨,
14', Valencia K. 🟨,
28', Russi C. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Lambrano D. ⚽, Amaya A. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Martinez S. ⚽, Gonzalez M. (A),
42', Lambrano D. 🟨,
44', Erazo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Neira M. ↓, Sterling M. ↑,
46', Valencia K. ↓, Mosquera M. ↑,
61', Ocampo L. 🟨,
63', Osorio K. 🟨,
72', Russi C. ↓, Gaviria D. ↑,
72', Amaya A. ↓, Moreno C. ↑,
78', Osorio K. ↓, Aguirre L. ↑,
84', Vidal I. ↓, Tenorio K. ↑,
85', Ocampo L. ↓, Restrepo K. ↑,
87', 🟨,
90+2', Casamachin L. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).

La Equidad is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Atlético Nacional is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

La Equidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Atlético Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, La Equidad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Equidad Woman
Colombian Liga Women
28.04.25	La Equidad - Fortaleza CEIF	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Millonarios - La Equidad	1:1 ✺
10.04.25	La Equidad - Deportivo Pasto	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Junior Barranquilla - La Equidad	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	La Equidad - Once Caldas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTWWW
- Atlético Nacional Medellin Women
Colombian Liga Women
30.04.25	Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
09.04.25	Inter Palmira - Atlético Nacional	0:0 ✺
28.03.25	Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar	3:1 ✺
24.03.25	América de Cali - Atlético Nacional	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Atlético Nacional - Real Santander	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
16.03.24	La Equidad - Atlético Nacional	0:1
16.04.23	Atlético Nacional - La Equidad	1:0
14.03.22	Atlético Nacional - La Equidad	3:0

La Equidad - Atlético Nacional: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide