#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Atlético Nacional 57.6%
Draw 25.7%
Independiente Medellín 16.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.4%
28.6%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.7%
28.7%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Nacional's performance.
Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Nacional that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Castano S. (G) 6. Ocampo L. 15. Vidal K. 16. Garcia S. 3. Zambrano A. 8. Moreno M. 20. Orrego S. 19. Mosquera M. 7. Martinez S. 21. Ibarguen K. 9. Gonzalez M.
12. Candanoza V. (G) 5. Torres M. 13. Doria Y. 4. Correa M. 25. Cardona M. 10. Gonzalez A. 6. Alvarez S. 19. Agudelo E. 7. Hurtado M. 11. Castillo V. 16. Hernandez E.
Substitutes
10. Alvarez L. 4. Bustos M. 24. Cabeza D. 17. Ceballos C. 11. Gomez I. 27. Orozco M. 13. Robayo L. 18. Sterling M. 1. Villareal A. (G)
21. Arias K. 1. Garcia L. (G) 18. Munera M. 17. Patino S. 3. Ramirez V. 14. Rangel N. 9. Rojas V. 15. Tangarife V. 8. Toledo M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Orrego S. 🟨,
34', Alvarez S. 🟨,
45+2', Hernandez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Orrego S. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
61', Hurtado M. ↓, Rojas V. ↑,
62', Agudelo E. ↓, Toledo M. ↑,
64', Mosquera M. ↓, Sterling M. ↑,
64', Ocampo L. ↓, Ceballos C. ↑,
76', Hernandez E. ↓, Munera M. ↑,
76', Gonzalez A. ↓, Patino S. ↑,
86', Rojas V. 🟨,
88', Castillo V. ↓, Arias K. ↑,
90+1', Alvarez L. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 0, Gonzalez M. ⚽, Ibarguen K. (A),
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 3.
In recent matches, Atlético Nacional has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ind Medellín is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Atlético Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Atlético Nacional is the team to beat.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).
Watch
#ad
Castano S. (G) 
Zambrano A. 
Rangel N. 
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
100% bonus on 1st bet up to €200 in free bet
