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Current Win Probability
La Nucía 48.9%
Draw 31.5%
Atlético Saguntino 19.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
30.7%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
29%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in La Nucía's performance.
Atlético Saguntino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Saguntino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Saguntino than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Saguntino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
La Nucía - Atlético Saguntino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:-1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Mazzocchi J. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 3 - 0, Gorxa J. ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, Palomero M. ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Nucía won 1.
In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
La Nucía could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, La Nucía won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, La Nucía won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Saguntino
5
2
1
2
7:7
0
7
Last Results with these Odds
La Nucía - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.22%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
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