The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atzeneta 26.3%
Draw 33.1%
La Nucía 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.6%
31%
43.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.1%
30.4%
44.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atzeneta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
La Nucía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atzeneta than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Atzeneta - La Nucía Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atzeneta won 1.
Atzeneta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
La Nucía is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Atzeneta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
La Nucía might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atzeneta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Atzeneta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
Atzeneta
5
0
4
1
4:5
-1
4
Last Results with these Odds
La Nucía - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.44%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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