Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Nepomuceno López (La Piedad de Cabadas)


	La Piedad		Correcaminos UAT 2

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.2	8.6
	1.28	5.14	9.18
	1.28	5.09	8.99	Watch
	1.25	5.1	9.7	Watch
	1.27	5.2	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.75)	5.15 ↑ (3.5)	9.01 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Piedad
72.1%

Draw
17.8%

Correcaminos UAT 2
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

26.5%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

26.4%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Piedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in La Piedad's performance.

Correcaminos UAT 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Correcaminos UAT 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Piedad than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with La Piedad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT 2 than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Correcaminos UAT 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

La Piedad - Correcaminos UAT 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Rodriguez Rodriguez E. O. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Medel Sergio ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches La Piedad is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Correcaminos 2 is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

La Piedad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match La Piedad is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches La Piedad won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams La Piedad won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Piedad
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.02.25	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - La Piedad	2:3 ✺
15.02.25	Canamy - La Piedad	1:3 ✺
08.02.25	La Piedad - Petroleros Salamanca	2:1 ✺
31.01.25	Halcones - La Piedad	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	La Piedad - Zacatepec Siglo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLL
- Correcaminos UAT 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.02.25	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Petroleros Salamanca	1:0 ✺
14.02.25	Halcones - Correcaminos UAT 2	1:0 ✺
07.02.25	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Zacatepec Siglo	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Aguacateros de Peribán - Correcaminos UAT 2	1:0 ✺
24.01.25	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
19.10.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - La Piedad	1:3
09.01.23	La Piedad - Correcaminos UAT 2	1:1
27.08.22	Correcaminos UAT 2 - La Piedad	0:2

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