Match Info

Ligue 3 - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Henri-Desgranges (La Roche-sur-Yon)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Ligue 1+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	La Roche VF		Quevilly

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.25	3.75
	1.90	3.15	3.65
	1.88	3.54	4.30
	1.89	3.33	3.78
	1.84	3.50	4.20
	1.81	3.28	4.13
	1.87	3.25	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.85)	3.33 ↑ (3.29)	3.95 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Roche VF
49.3%

Draw
27.5%

Quevilly
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

27.8%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

26.6%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for La Roche VF have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Quevilly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Roche VF than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quevilly than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

La Roche VF - Quevilly Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ahamada I. (G) 22. Morel E. 18. Rabuel M. 5. Allemand T. (C) 29. Violleau G. 2. Mahop M. 8. Bensoula K. 10. Ndiaye M. 20. Araujo A. 27. Lamy H. 9. Samb M.	16. Silistrie M. (G) 19. Gazzaoui Y. 27. Pionnier T. 26. Theresin V. 18. Hamdi M. 14. Jean-Marie M. 7. Come Ruiz S. 4. Diaby A. (C) 17. Sarr D. 20. Capuano G. 11. Seck D.
Substitutes
11. Bangoura D. 26. Beaulieu J. 21. Gassama E. 15. Jacob M. 16. Raux J. (G) 28. Renaudineau T. 17. Vrignon M.	21. Bouekou N. 5. Gaya Y. 22. Rosa R. 2. Ros M. 29. Silva R. 8. Tchimbembe W. 40. Viel T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Samb M. (Penalty Awarded),
41', 0 - 1, Jean-Marie M. ⚽, Sarr D. (A),
43', Theresin V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Morel E. ↓, Beaulieu J. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Beaulieu J. ⚽, Araujo A. (A),
54', Seck D. 🟨,
60', Lamy H. ↓, Renaudineau T. ↑,
60', Bensoula K. ↓, Vrignon M. ↑,
70', Jean-Marie M. ↓, Silva R. ↑,
70', Sarr D. ↓, Tchimbembe W. ↑,
70', Capuano G. ↓, Ros M. ↑,
70', Araujo A. ↓, Bangoura D. ↑,
78', Seck D. ↓, Rosa R. ↑,
78', Diaby A. ↓, Bouekou N. ↑,
88', Ndiaye M. ↓, Gassama E. ↑,

Preview

La Roche VF is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Quevilly has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, La Roche VF is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	La Roche	9	6	3	0	15:8	7	21
13	Quevilly Rouen	9	2	4	3	8:12	-4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Roche Vendée Football
French Ligue 3
29.08.26	Orleans - La Roche VF	0:1 ✺
20.08.26	La Roche VF - Cannes	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Amiens - La Roche VF	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	La Roche VF - Versailles	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.26	Nantes - La Roche VF	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.6 WTWWT
- US Quevilly
French Ligue 3
29.08.26	Quevilly - Fleury 91	2:1 ✺
20.08.26	Rouen FC - Quevilly	3:0 ✺
14.08.26	Quevilly - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Quevilly	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.26	Clermont - Quevilly	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTLT

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