The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bastia 48.9%
Draw 27.3%
Quevilly 23.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.5%
29.8%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
30.2%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bastia's performance.
Quevilly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Quevilly might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-11%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bastia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quevilly than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quevilly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Bastia - Quevilly Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 13th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Bookmakers give the edge to Bastia for this game.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Bastia has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:6 (averaging 1.2:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bastia against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:2 goals (averaging 1.3:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Quevilly Rouen
10
3
4
3
11:14
-3
13
13
Bastia
10
3
3
4
8:12
-4
12
Outrights of French Ligue 3 for now
Bastia: 3.83%
Last Results with these Odds
Quevilly - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.68%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
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