Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Bastia		Quevilly

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.6	Watch
	2.8	3	2.6
	2.8	3	2.6	Watch
	2.86	3.15	2.75
	2.85	3.14	2.75
	2.7	3.1	2.5
	2.75	3.16	2.62	Watch
	2.8	3.05	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3)	3.08 ↓ (3.22)	2.63 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia
33.7%

Draw
30.5%

Quevilly
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

29%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

28.4%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Quevilly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quevilly than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Quevilly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Bastia - Quevilly Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Quevilly will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Placide J. (G) 4. Roncaglia A. 95. Keita C. 99. Okou Y. 22. Traore C. 66. Janneh J. 13. Ducrocq T. 15. Bohnert F. 7. Vincent C. 39. Djoco K. 10. Alfarela M.	1. Leroy B. (G) 22. Loric S. 20. Cisse N. 5. Cissokho T. 7. Pendant J. 93. Camara M. 8. Cadiou N. 17. Sangare G. 12. Gbelle G. (C) 9. Soumano S. 19. Coulibaly K.
Substitutes
17. Bianchini F. 31. Conte F. 5. Drame I. 23. Fabri J. (G) 19. Loubatieres M. 42. Tavares D. 18. Tomi F.	16. Bonnevie K. (G) 23. Delaurier-Chaubet L. 14. Do Marcolino F. 15. Fortes S. 35. Legendre R. 21. Roche Y. 90. Yade P.
Coaches
Brouard R.	Echouafni O.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bastia won 3.

Bastia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Quevilly is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Quevilly could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bastia have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bastia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Bastia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
05.12.23	Dunkerque - Bastia	0:5 ✺
02.12.23	Caen - Bastia	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Bastia - Auxerre	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
18.11.23	Lyon La Duchère - Bastia	4:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
11.11.23	Paris FC - Bastia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTLL
- US Quevilly
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Quevilly - Dijon	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
05.12.23	Quevilly - Bordeaux	3:2 ✺
02.12.23	Auxerre - Quevilly	3:2 ✺
25.11.23	Quevilly - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
18.11.23	Montdidier - Quevilly	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
11.02.23	Bastia - Quevilly	0:1
10.01.23	Quevilly - Bastia	1:1
08.01.22	Bastia - Quevilly	3:0
18.08.21	Quevilly - Bastia	1:2
French Ligue 3
10.05.21	Quevilly - Bastia	0:1
11.01.21	Bastia - Quevilly	2:1
Coupe De France
20.01.15	Quevilly - Bastia	2:1 penalties

Bastia - Quevilly: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide