Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 9

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday


	La Unión		Don Benito

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.8	3.9
	2	2.95	3.9
	2.02	3	3.88
	1.99	3.07	3.86	Watch
	2.01	3.06	3.88
	2	2.95	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.34)	2.97 ↓ (3.15)	3.89 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Unión
45.8%

Draw
30.7%

Don Benito
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

29.3%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Unión has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in La Unión's performance.

Don Benito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Don Benito might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with La Unión that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Don Benito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

La Unión - Don Benito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Chit O. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, Comenge A. ⚽,
59', 2 - 1, Quindimil A. ⚽,
65', 3 - 1, Vega S. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

La Unión will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Unión CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.10.24	Minera - La Unión	3:1 ✺
13.10.24	La Unión - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Almeria B - La Unión	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	La Unión - Antoniano	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	La Unión - Xerez CD	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWLL
- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.10.24	Don Benito - Granada B	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Linares Deportivo - Don Benito	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Don Benito - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Linense - Don Benito	2:3 ✺
22.09.24	Don Benito - Águilas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLTWW

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