Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	La Unión		Xerez CD

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.88	3.3
	2.27	3.01	3.34
	2.43	2.83	3.16	Watch
	2.21	2.85	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.25)	2.89 ↓ (2.89)	3.3 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Unión
40.5%

Draw
31.7%

Xerez CD
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

31.4%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

32.3%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for La Unión have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Xerez CD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Unión than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

La Unión - Xerez CD Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. La Unión (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Gutierrez I. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Ruiz D. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 7)

Recent performances by La Unión have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Xerez is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Xerez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

La Unión is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, La Unión won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, La Unión won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Unión CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.11.25	Almeria B - La Unión	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	La Unión - Ceuta	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.10.25	La Unión - Recreativo Huelva	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Minera - La Unión	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	La Unión - Linares Deportivo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLLW
- Xerez CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.11.25	Linares Deportivo - Xerez CD	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Xerez CD - Minera	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Recreativo Huelva - Xerez CD	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Xerez CD - Almeria B	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Melilla - Xerez CD	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.02.25	Xerez CD - La Unión	0:1
22.09.24	La Unión - Xerez CD	0:1

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