Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 15 - ROUND 19

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Lagunak		Ardoi

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.35
	2.75	3.1	2.4
	2.76	2.91	2.5
	2.73	3.04	2.43
	2.75	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.32)	3.03 ↓ (3.3)	2.42 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lagunak
32.9%

Draw
29.8%

Ardoi
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

27.6%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

27.5%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lagunak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lagunak's performance.

Ardoi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ardoi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagunak than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lagunak that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ardoi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ardoi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lagunak won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Lagunak
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
27.01.24	Txantrea - Lagunak	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Huarte - Lagunak	4:1 ✺
16.01.24	Lagunak - Subiza	1:6 ✺
07.01.24	Oberena - Lagunak	2:4 ✺
13.12.23	Lagunak - Pamplona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLLWT
- CF Ardoi FE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
27.01.24	Ardoi - Peña Sport	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	Txantrea - Ardoi	1:3 ✺
13.01.24	Ardoi - Huarte	1:0 ✺
06.01.24	Subiza - Ardoi	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Ardoi - Oberena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
16.09.23	Ardoi - Lagunak	3:0
04.02.23	Ardoi - Lagunak	1:2

Lagunak - Ardoi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide