Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 9

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Campo Municipal Manuel Linhares Lima (Lajes)


	Lajense		Mortágua

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.62	2.62
	2.91	2.71	2.63	Watch
	2.69	3.31	2.46
	2.66	3.14	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.63)	2.95 ↓ (3.1)	2.53 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lajense
32.9%

Draw
31%

Mortágua
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

28.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

29.3%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lajense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Mortágua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lajense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Lajense - Mortágua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 1 - 0, ⚽,
74', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JD Lajense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
02.11.25	União da Serra - Lajense	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Lajense - Fatima	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Lajense - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	SB Castelo Branco - Lajense	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Lajense - Samora Correia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTTW
- Mortágua FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
02.11.25	Fatima - Mortágua	1:3 ✺
26.10.25	Mortágua - Samora Correia	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	Mortágua - Portimonense B	2:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
12.10.25	Mortágua - SC Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Peniche - Mortágua	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWLL

Lajense - Mortágua: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide