Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL Northern NSW - Round 16

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday


	Lake Macquarie City		New Lambton

	1	X	2
	4	4.33	1.57	Watch
	4.6	4.33	1.55
	4.33	4.33	1.57	Watch
	4.51	4.6	1.56
	4.52	4.61	1.56
	4.6	4.4	1.5
	4.43	4.45	1.55	Watch
	4.2	4.4	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (4.04)	4.43 ↑ (4.33)	1.55 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lake Macquarie City
20.7%

Draw
20.6%

New Lambton
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

20.8%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

17%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lake Macquarie City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

New Lambton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lake Macquarie City than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lake Macquarie City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Lambton than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New Lambton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lake Macquarie City - New Lambton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 1, Preston J. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Northern NSW State League and 10).

Lake Macquarie has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

New Lambton is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lake Macquarie could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match New Lambton is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lake Macquarie won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Lake Macquarie won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lake Macquarie City FC
Australian NPL Northern NSW
15.06.24	Lake Macquarie City - Valentine Phoenix	0:2 ✺
12.06.24	Lake Macquarie City - Adamstown Rosebud	1:3 ✺
07.06.24	Cooks Hill United - Lake Macquarie City	4:1 ✺
24.05.24	Broadmeadow Magic - Lake Macquarie City	3:1 ✺
18.05.24	Lambton Jaffas - Lake Macquarie City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- New Lambton FC
Australian NPL Northern NSW
12.06.24	Cooks Hill United - New Lambton	1:2 ✺
28.05.24	New Lambton - Lambton Jaffas	1:1 ✺
25.05.24	Valentine Phoenix - New Lambton	2:0 ✺
19.05.24	New Lambton - Charlestown Azzurri	0:1 ✺
10.05.24	Broadmeadow Magic - New Lambton	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
23.03.24	New Lambton - Lake Macquarie City	1:2
13.08.23	Lake Macquarie City - New Lambton	1:4
13.05.23	New Lambton - Lake Macquarie City	3:0

Lake Macquarie City - New Lambton: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide