Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 19

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday


	Valentine Phoenix		New Lambton

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.75	3.1	Watch
	1.77	3.9	3.6
				Watch
	1.7	4.18	3.64
				Watch
	1.75	3.9	3.75
	1.67	4.2	3.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.83)	4.19 ↓ (4.42)	3.58 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentine Phoenix
52.8%

Draw
21.8%

New Lambton
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

20.6%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

18.8%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentine Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

New Lambton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentine Phoenix than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valentine Phoenix that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Lambton than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Lambton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Valentine Phoenix - New Lambton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Graham C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Ikeda H. 🟥,
52', 1 - 1, Harrison K. (Pen),
87', 2 - 1, Robinson B. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 in the zone NPL Northern NSW (Relegation) and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Northern NSW State League).

Valentine has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

New Lambton is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Valentine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Valentine could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valentine won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Valentine won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentine Phoenix
Australian NPL Northern NSW
06.07.25	Charlestown Azzurri - Valentine Phoenix	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Edgeworth Eagles - Valentine Phoenix	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Valentine Phoenix - Adamstown Rosebud	2:4 ✺
21.06.25	Valentine Phoenix - Cooks Hill United	1:0 ✺
15.06.25	Newcastle Olympic - Valentine Phoenix	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TLLWT
- New Lambton FC
Australian NPL Northern NSW
05.07.25	Cooks Hill United - New Lambton	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	New Lambton - Maitland	0:1 ✺
24.06.25	New Lambton - Charlestown Azzurri	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Weston Bears - New Lambton	5:0 ✺
14.06.25	Edgeworth Eagles - New Lambton	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
12.04.25	New Lambton - Valentine Phoenix	2:3
25.05.24	Valentine Phoenix - New Lambton	2:0
01.03.24	New Lambton - Valentine Phoenix	0:3
24.06.23	Valentine Phoenix - New Lambton	0:0
31.03.23	New Lambton - Valentine Phoenix	2:2

Valentine Phoenix - New Lambton: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide