Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 12

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Lamelas		Valadares Gaia

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.68
	5.28	3.92	1.65
	5.28	3.92	1.6
	5.05	3.7	1.58
	4.3	3.65	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↑ (2.32)	3.76 ↑ (3.1)	1.64 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lamelas
19.3%

Draw
24.5%

Valadares Gaia
56.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

28.3%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lamelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lamelas's form might have worsened.

Valadares Gaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valadares Gaia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lamelas than the current prediction. (+21%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lamelas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (-25.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valadares Gaia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Valadares Gaia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Valadares Gaia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACDR Lamelas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.12.23	Amarante - Lamelas	3:0 ✺
26.11.23	Lamelas - Marco 09	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Lamelas - Rebordosa	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Paredes - Lamelas	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Oliveira do Douro - Lamelas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LTWLL
- Valadares Gaia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.12.23	Valadares Gaia - Vila Meã	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	São João de Ver - Valadares Gaia	4:1 ✺
05.11.23	Valadares Gaia - Florgrade	0:3 ✺
01.11.23	Gondomar - Valadares Gaia	1:2 ✺
28.10.23	Valadares Gaia - Beira-Mar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWT

Lamelas - Valadares Gaia

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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