Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 8

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Gondomar		Valadares Gaia

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Gondomar
42.2%

Draw
30.6%

Valadares Gaia
27.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.5%

31.3%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

30%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gondomar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Valadares Gaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The ML Model estimate for Gondomar aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gondomar won 1.

Recent matches Gondomar is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Valadares Gaia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Valadares Gaia have a series of home games.

Gondomar will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Gondomar won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Gondomar won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-10.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gondomar SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.10.23	Amarante - Gondomar	0:0 ✺
08.10.23	Gondomar - Rebordosa	1:2 ✺
01.10.23	Paredes - Gondomar	0:1 ✺
17.09.23	Gondomar - Marco 09	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
10.09.23	Portosantense - Gondomar	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLWWL
- Valadares Gaia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.10.23	Valadares Gaia - Beira-Mar	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Valadares Gaia - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Amarante - Valadares Gaia	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Valadares Gaia - Penafiel	1:2 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.09.23	Valadares Gaia - Rebordosa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTLLT

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.04.23	Valadares Gaia - Gondomar	3:2
11.12.22	Gondomar - Valadares Gaia	2:2
08.05.22	Gondomar - Valadares Gaia	1:4
10.04.22	Valadares Gaia - Gondomar	2:0
20.02.22	Gondomar - Valadares Gaia	2:1
05.12.21	Valadares Gaia - Gondomar	1:2
26.01.20	Valadares Gaia - Gondomar	0:0

Gondomar - Valadares Gaia