The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lamia 43%
Draw 31.8%
Ionikos Nikaias 25.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.5%
30%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
29.7%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lamia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Ionikos Nikaias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lamia than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ionikos Nikaias than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40.5%
35.7%
23.8%
Lamia - Ionikos Nikaias Predictions
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Lamia will win (votes: 17 - 40.5%). Ionikos will win (votes: 10 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 35.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lamia: 25.7% โ 55.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group) and 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group)).
Lamia has the most likely position - 14 (40.56%), has project points - 24, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (56%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Ionikos has the most likely position - 14 (39.93%), has project points - 24, has currently - 8, has a good chance of relegated (54%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has small quality16, big importance70, match rating43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lamia won 3.
Lamia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ionikos has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Lamia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Lamia will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's Lamia to win the game is with odds 2.05.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Lamia won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Lamia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.
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