Match Info

GREECE: SUPER LEAGUE - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 27

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Peristeri Stadium (Athens)

Referee: Polychronis F. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Cyprus	Nova Sports
Greece	Nova Sports


	Atromitos Athens		Ionikos Nikaias

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	4
	2.15	3.1	3.5
	1.95	3.1	4.1
	1.91	3.1	4.1
	2.15	3.07	3.93
	2.1	3	3.5
	2.06	3.24	3.75	Watch
	2.12	3	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.97)	3.08 ↓ (3.15)	3.84 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atromitos Athens
45.1%

Draw
30.4%

Ionikos Nikaias
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

29.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

29.4%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atromitos Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Ionikos Nikaias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atromitos Athens than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ionikos Nikaias than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	17.6%	11.8%

Atromitos Athens - Ionikos Nikaias Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Atromitos will win (votes: 24 - 70.6%). Ionikos will win (votes: 4 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atromitos: 55.3% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This event has small quality 22, small importance 22, small match rating 22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atromitos won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Ionikos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atromitos is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Atromitos won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Atromitos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atromitos Athens
Greek Super League
12.03.23	Atromitos Athens - Panathinaikos	0:2 ✺
08.03.23	Atromitos Athens - AEK Athens	0:1 ✺
04.03.23	Asteras Tripolis - Atromitos Athens	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Aris - Atromitos Athens	2:1 ✺
20.02.23	Atromitos Athens - Levadiakos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTLW
- Ionikos Nikaias
Greek Super League
12.03.23	Ionikos Nikaias - Asteras Tripolis	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	PAOK - Ionikos Nikaias	6:0 ✺
26.02.23	Ionikos Nikaias - OFI	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	Panetolikos - Ionikos Nikaias	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	PAS Giannina - Ionikos Nikaias	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
08.01.23	Atromitos Athens - Ionikos Nikaias	2:0
10.09.22	Ionikos Nikaias - Atromitos Athens	1:4
Club Friendly
07.08.22	Ionikos Nikaias - Atromitos Athens	2:2
Greek Super League
07.05.22	Atromitos Athens - Ionikos Nikaias	0:1
29.01.22	Ionikos Nikaias - Atromitos Athens	2:1
23.10.21	Atromitos Athens - Ionikos Nikaias	0:2
Club Friendly
14.08.21	Ionikos Nikaias - Atromitos Athens	1:1

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