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Current Win Probability
Lamontville Golden Arrows 30.5%
Draw 31.1%
Durban City 38.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.4%
31.7%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.5%
31.8%
38.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lamontville Golden Arrows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Durban City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lamontville Golden Arrows than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durban City than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Lamontville Golden Arrows - Durban City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Maova E. (G) 52. Shezi K. 4. Jiyane A. (C) 38. Mabaso N. 20. Maluleke O. 41. Zwane N. 24. Dlamini N. 37. Thokozani K. 49. Gasa N. 19. Cisse I. 18. Dion J.
1. Keet D. (G) 2. Jalai E. 5. Ncanana S. (C) 22. De Kock L. 23. Mashego T. 17. Jurgens K. 4. Gcaba F. 26. Nodada T. 11. Magawana S. 10. Maseko S. 15. Mokwena B.
Substitutes
39. Booysen A. 30. Cele S. 15. Comara O. 16. Lukhele D. T. 46. Msomi S. 31. Ngcobo X. (G) 40. Nguse L. 29. Sithole S. 14. Van Rooi A.
33. Asare F. (G) 25. Bhengu M. 7. Domingo H. 27. Goedeman T. 19. Koapeng L. 20. Lwamba J. 9. Mahlangu S. 3. Mthembu B. 35. Sifumba L.
Coaches
Mngqithi M.
Dladla S. P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Shezi K. 🟨,
36', Gcaba F. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Cisse I. ⚽, Gasa N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Maseko S. ↓, Sifumba L. ↑,
46', De Kock L. ↓, Lwamba J. ↑,
60', Gasa N. ↓, Sithole S. ↑,
60', Cisse I. ↓, Lukhele D. T. ↑,
61', Thokozani K. ↓, Nguse L. ↑,
61', Mokwena B. ↓, Mthembu B. ↑,
67', Dlamini N. ↓, Msomi S. ↑,
71', Dion J. ↓, Comara O. ↑,
78', Mabaso N. 🟨,
80', Mashego T. ↓, Koapeng L. ↑,
85', Magawana S. ↓, Domingo H. ↑,
90+1', Nguse L. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Golden Arrows won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Durban City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Durban City could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Golden Arrows won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Golden Arrows won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Golden Arrows
7
1
5
1
3:3
0
8
10
Durban City
7
1
4
2
4:5
-1
7
Last Results with these Odds
Lamontville Golden Arrows - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 29.43%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.