Match Info

Primera A Women - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Lanús		Independiente

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3.35	3	2.08
	3.27	3.19	2
	3.36	3.27	2.07	Watch
	3.25	3	2
	3.35	3.28	2.01
	2.75	3.1	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.92)	3.13 ↑ (3.07)	2.07 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanús
27.9%

Draw
28.6%

Independiente
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

29.9%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

29.5%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Lanús - Independiente Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 12).

Recent form of Lanús has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Independiente has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Independiente might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Lanús won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Lanus W	10	4	3	3	8:8	0	15
13	Independiente W	11	3	0	8	13:27	-14	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lanús Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
15.05.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Lanús	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Lanús - Belgrano	3:2 ✺
04.05.26	River Plate - Lanús	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Lanús - Banfield	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Lanús	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.9 TWLLL
- CA Independiente Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
15.05.26	Independiente - San Luis	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Unión Santa Fe - Independiente	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Social Atlético Televisión - Independiente	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Belgrano - Independiente	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera A Women
15.04.23	Lanús - Independiente	1:3
15.03.22	Independiente - Lanús	0:1

Lanús - Independiente: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide