Match Info

Superettan - Round 7

Date: 12 May 2025, Monday

Location: Landskrona Idrottsplats (Landskrona)

Referee: Svraka J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 2, Max, TV4 Play


	Landskrona		Örgryte

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.7	3.6	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.2
	1.94	3.72	3.58	Watch
	2.02	3.74	3.75
	1.91	3.73	3.65	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4
	1.91	3.71	3.61	Watch
	1.94	3.72	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.8)	3.7 ↓ (3.88)	3.75 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Landskrona
49.7%

Draw
25.3%

Örgryte
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

24.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

22.8%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Landskrona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Örgryte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Landskrona than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Landskrona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Landskrona - Örgryte Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Landskrona will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Örgryte will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Landskrona: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Landskrona (votes: 1 - 50%). Örgryte (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Örgryte (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Landskrona (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Örgryte (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Pettersson M. (G) 4. Bruzelius G. 18. Perez A. 3. Weststrom G. 16. Rahmani R. 5. Egnell A. 23. Nilsson M. 10. Capotondi C. 19. Sundberg V. 20. Odhiambo X. 9. Sylisufaj E.	44. Gustafsson H. (G) 3. Azulay J. 6. Dyrestam M. 5. Styffe C. 15. Dahlqvist I. 7. Vindehall C. 8. Mujanic A. 19. Andreasson A. 14. Paulson D. 11. Christoffersson N. 22. Sana T.
Substitutes
11. Bjorkqvist M. 29. Hildeman S. (G) 21. Jensen K. 7. Karlsson V. 24. Lindman E. 6. Nasstrom H. 14. Streete C.	28. Ahmed I. 10. Barkroth N. 20. Karlsson M. 17. Keita M. 21. Kenndal W. 12. Samuelsson L. 24. Svensson W.
Coaches
Molder M.	Holmberg A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Rahmani R. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Christoffersson N. ⚽, Dahlqvist I. (A),
38', Dyrestam M. ↓, Keita M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 1 - 1, Bruzelius G. ⚽, Rahmani R. (A),
64', Sundberg V. ↓, Karlsson V. ↑,
64', Capotondi C. ↓, Streete C. ↑,
65', Styffe C. 🟨,
75', Paulson D. ↓, Svensson W. ↑,
90+2', Egnell A. ↓, Bjorkqvist M. ↑,
90+2', Sylisufaj E. ↓, Jensen K. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: ) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Landskrona won 3.

Landskrona is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Örgryte's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Landskrona is considered a favorite.

We predict that Landskrona will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Landskrona won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Landskrona won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 2.1:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Landskrona BoIS
Swedish Superettan
03.05.25	Umeå - Landskrona	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Landskrona - Sandviken	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Sundsvall - Landskrona	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Landskrona - Utsikten	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Östersund - Landskrona	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWT
- Örgryte IS
Swedish Superettan
04.05.25	Örgryte - Falkenberg	4:2 ✺
26.04.25	Östersund - Örgryte	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Örgryte - Örebro	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Örgryte - Sundsvall	0:0 ✺
08.04.25	Västerås SK - Örgryte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
19.09.24	Örgryte - Landskrona	2:1
24.06.24	Landskrona - Örgryte	4:3
11.11.23	Landskrona - Örgryte	1:2
06.06.23	Örgryte - Landskrona	0:1
03.09.22	Örgryte - Landskrona	0:1
25.04.22	Landskrona - Örgryte	3:2
06.11.21	Örgryte - Landskrona	3:2

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