Match Info

Superettan - Round 6

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Sjoberg K. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 5, Max, TV4 Play


	Örgryte		Falkenberg

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.6	3
	2.15	3.4	2.9
	2.29	3.48	2.94	Watch
	2.34	3.55	2.99
	2.31	3.47	2.9	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.8
	2.33	3.44	2.93	Watch
	2.29	3.48	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.06)	3.47 ↓ (3.7)	2.93 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örgryte
41.1%

Draw
27%

Falkenberg
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

25.5%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

24.8%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örgryte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Falkenberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Örgryte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Örgryte - Falkenberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Gustafsson H. (G) 24. Svensson W. 6. Dyrestam M. 17. Keita M. 19. Andreasson A. 7. Vindehall C. 5. Styffe C. 15. Dahlqvist I. 8. Mujanic A. 22. Sana T. 14. Paulson D. (C)	1. Andersson A. (G) 4. Stalheden T. (C) 5. Hansson N. 23. Salo A. 8. Bertilsson N. 30. Aguda G. 17. Sibelius L. 18. Borgstrom L. 14. Shears I. 21. Andersson A. 19. Lindberg O.
Substitutes
9. Andersson L. 3. Azulay J. 11. Christoffersson N. 16. Dahlqvist H. 20. Karlsson M. 21. Kenndal W. 12. Samuelsson L. (G)	12. Carlsson C. 20. Franberg A. 26. Hindi S. 2. Johansson G. 16. Kallstrom H. 31. Lillienberg G. (G) 10. Shahin L.
Coaches
Holmberg A.	Andersson C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Bertilsson N. ⚽, Borgstrom L. (A),
41', 0 - 2, Stalheden T. ⚽, Shears I. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Svensson W. ↓, Christoffersson N. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Paulson D. ⚽, Keita M. (A),
65', 2 - 2, Paulson D. ⚽, Sana T. (A),
67', Shears I. ↓, Shahin L. ↑,
71', Vindehall C. 🟨,
79', Lindberg O. ↓, Kallstrom H. ↑,
79', Sibelius L. ↓, Carlsson C. ↑,
83', Keita M. ↓, Azulay J. ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Paulson D. ⚽, Mujanic A. (A),
88', 4 - 2, Paulson D. ⚽, Vindehall C. (A),
89', Hansson N. ↓, Johansson G. ↑,
90', Aguda G. ↓, Hindi S. ↑,
90+2', Mujanic A. ↓, Karlsson M. ↑,
90+2', Paulson D. ↓, Andersson L. ↑,
90+2', Sana T. ↓, Kenndal W. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Örgryte won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Örgryte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Örgryte could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Örgryte won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Örgryte won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örgryte IS
Swedish Superettan
26.04.25	Östersund - Örgryte	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Örgryte - Örebro	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Örgryte - Sundsvall	0:0 ✺
08.04.25	Västerås SK - Örgryte	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Örgryte - Utsikten	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTTW
- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Superettan
29.04.25	Falkenberg - Örebro	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Falkenberg - Oddevold	2:2 ✺
14.04.25	Västerås SK - Falkenberg	1:0 ✺
07.04.25	Brage - Falkenberg	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Falkenberg - Varbergs BoIS	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
03.10.21	Örgryte - Falkenberg	1:1
08.05.21	Falkenberg - Örgryte	3:2
Club Friendly
02.02.19	Örgryte - Falkenberg	2:0
Swedish Superettan
07.08.18	Falkenberg - Örgryte	1:1
03.06.18	Örgryte - Falkenberg	1:1
Club Friendly
24.02.18	Örgryte - Falkenberg	1:0
Swedish Superettan
17.09.17	Falkenberg - Örgryte	1:1

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