Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Langreo		Rayo Cantabria

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	1.99	3.27	3.83
	1.89	3.14	4.28	Watch
	2.02	3.2	3.67
	1.93	3.1	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.26)	3.15 ↑ (3.09)	3.74 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Langreo
46.7%

Draw
28.9%

Rayo Cantabria
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

29.5%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

28%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Langreo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Langreo's performance.

Rayo Cantabria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayo Cantabria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Langreo than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Langreo - Rayo Cantabria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Baldrich S. ⚽,
50', 1 - 1, Reyes R. ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, Reyes R. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Langreo won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Rayo Cantabria has had a series of home games.

Langreo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Langreo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Langreo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Langreo - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.31%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UP Langreo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.09.25	Burgos Promesas - Langreo	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Langreo - Real Ávila	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Marino de Luanco - Langreo	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Langreo - Coruxo	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Ceares - Langreo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLLTW
- Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.09.25	Rayo Cantabria - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:3 ✺
21.09.25	Rayo Cantabria - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Numancia - Rayo Cantabria	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Rayo Cantabria - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.08.25	Rayo Cantabria - Sestao	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.03.25	Rayo Cantabria - Langreo	1:0
03.11.24	Langreo - Rayo Cantabria	0:2
18.02.24	Rayo Cantabria - Langreo	2:3
08.10.23	Langreo - Rayo Cantabria	4:1
29.01.23	Langreo - Rayo Cantabria	0:0
11.09.22	Rayo Cantabria - Langreo	1:0

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