Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 2

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Numancia		Rayo Cantabria

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.58	3.4	5.35
	1.64	3.45	5.38
	1.04	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.68)	2.95 ↓ (3.37)	4.41 ↓ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
54.1%

Draw
27.5%

Rayo Cantabria
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

27.3%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

26.6%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Rayo Cantabria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Numancia - Rayo Cantabria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Pena H. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Incera I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 2 - 1, Pena H. ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Numancia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rayo Cantabria's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Numancia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rayo Cantabria has had a series of home games.

In this match, Numancia is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Numancia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Numancia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.09.25	Lealtad - Numancia	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.08.25	Numancia - Conquense	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Numancia - Tarazona	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Numancia - Utebo	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Almazán - Numancia	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLW
- Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.09.25	Rayo Cantabria - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.08.25	Rayo Cantabria - Sestao	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	SD Logroñés - Rayo Cantabria	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	Rayo Cantabria - Basconia	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Rayo Cantabria - Valladolid B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.04.25	Rayo Cantabria - Numancia	2:1
24.11.24	Numancia - Rayo Cantabria	1:0

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