The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lanzhou Longyuan 30.6%
Draw 30%
Nantong Haimen Codion 39.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.2%
30.2%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.2%
29.4%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanzhou Longyuan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lanzhou Longyuan's form might have worsened.
Nantong Haimen Codion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nantong Haimen Codion's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lanzhou Longyuan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Haimen Codion than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nantong Haimen Codion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
13. Mu Qianyu (C) 23. Yuan Z. 2. Luo H. 47. Yang Shengming 6. Zhang Junzhe 55. Abdurahman A. 10. Sun Xinkai 16. Wang S. 39. Chen Kerui 8. Abdukerim O. 42. Hu Yubo
26. Liang Zhenfu (G) 9. Yan Ge 23. Yu Hang 17. Bai Xianyi (C) 46. Xu Kunxing 11. Pei Guoguang 21. Chen Weijing 41. Ding Jianhua 59. Dai Yuanji 16. Wang Bowen 8. Cheng Xin
Substitutes
22. Jiang W. 19. Liu Xinyu 24. Lu Chaoyu 57. Lu X. (G) 18. Memetimin Mewlan 15. Piao Entian 30. Wang Lingke 60. Xie R. 1. Zhang Jihao (G) 29. Zhao Xiaolong 11. Zhu Haiwei
47. Cai Wenxuan 39. Cao Yuetao 27. Luo Gaoju 32. Qi Dan 12. Sun Qinan 18. Tan Jingbo 22. Xie Gongbo (G) 7. Xu Yuese 51. Zhou Xianfeng
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wang Bowen ↓, Cao Yuetao ↑,
46', Abdurahman A. ↓, Jiang W. ↑,
65', Pei Guoguang ↓, Qi Dan ↑,
77', Wang S. ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
88', Chen Kerui 🟨,
90', Dai Yuanji 🟨,
90+2', Abdukerim O. ↓, Zhu Haiwei ↑,
90+2', Xu Kunxing ↓, Sun Qinan ↑,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).
In recent matches, Lanzhou Longyuan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Nantong Haimen is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Nantong Haimen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lanzhou Longyuan won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Lanzhou Longyuan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Watch
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Mu Qianyu (C) 
