The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lanzhou Longyuan 38.8%
Draw 31.6%
Shanghai Port B 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.4%
29.1%
44.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
28.9%
44.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanzhou Longyuan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lanzhou Longyuan's performance.
Shanghai Port B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shanghai Port B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanzhou Longyuan that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port B than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanghai Port B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lanzhou Longyuan - Shanghai Port B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Mu Qianyu (C) 42. Hu Yubo 17. Erkin Ababekri 47. Yang Shengming 2. Luo H. 39. Chen Kerui 14. Zhang Zichao 10. Sun Xinkai 5. Pan Yuchen 7. Lu J. 40. Lu Zhiyuan
53. Li Zhiliang (G) 7. Wang Yiwei (C) 24. Li Ruilong 30. Xu Ruixuan 51. Liu T. 16. Li Jaqi 43. Wang Zhaopu 10. Zhang Huiyu 44. Yang Q. 37. Zhang J. 35. Wen Junxiang
Substitutes
8. Abdukerim O. 55. Abdurahman A. 37. Ke Yuan 19. Liu Xinyu 15. Piao Entian 30. Wang Lingke 16. Wang S. 33. Wei Lai 60. Xie R. 1. Zhang Jihao (G) 25. Zhang Yue 29. Zhao Xiaolong
9. Deming Li 39. Huang W. 13. Jiang Tianle 57. Jinhong Liang 46. Juncheng Cui 14. Li Shenglong 11. Li Z. 54. Wang Dongcheng 50. Wang Qirong (G) 3. Wang Z. 20. Xie Hongyu 2. Zhang Wei
Coaches
Zhang Xiaorui
Yaodong Cheng
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hu Yubo ↓, Zhao Xiaolong ↑,
46', Wang Yiwei ↓, Zhang Wei ↑,
50', Zhang Wei 🟨,
56', Zhao Xiaolong 🟨,
65', Wen Junxiang ↓, Li Shenglong ↑,
65', Li Jaqi ↓, Deming Li ↑,
75', Yang Q. ↓, Jinhong Liang ↑,
81', Lu J. 🟨,
85', Zhang J. ↓, Juncheng Cui ↑,
87', Zhang Zichao ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
87', Sun Xinkai ↓, Zhang Yue ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Zhang Yue ⚽, Lu J. (A),
90+2', Chen Kerui 🟨,
90+5', Yang Shengming 🟨,
90+6', Yang Shengming 🟨,
90+6', Liu T. 🟥,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )).
Lanzhou Longyuan is League Two (Relegation Group )
Shanghai Port B is Qualified for League Two (Promotion Group )
Lanzhou Longyuan is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In recent matches, Shanghai Port B has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Lanzhou Longyuan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Lanzhou Longyuan has had a series of home games.
Shanghai Port B could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lanzhou Longyuan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Lanzhou Longyuan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
Promotion Group
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Shanghai Port B
25
14
4
7
40:21
19
46
Last Results with these Odds
Lanzhou Longyuan - the odds 3.52 are the expected chance of winning is 26.43%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Mu Qianyu (C) 
