Match Info

Date: 23 February 2020, Sunday


	Las Rozas		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	1.94	3.08	3.45
	2.02	3.47	3.67
	1.95	3.3	3.6
	1.93	3.4	3.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.3)	3.28 ↑ (3.23)	3.43 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Rozas
45.4%

Draw
27.9%

Peña Deportiva
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

28%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

20.2%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Rozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Las Rozas's performance.

Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peña Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Rozas than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Las Rozas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peña Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Las Rozas - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Rozas CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.02.20	Marino de Luanco - Las Rozas	0:0 ✺
09.02.20	Las Rozas - DUX Internacional de Madrid	3:0 ✺
02.02.20	Las Rozas - Melilla	0:1 ✺
25.01.20	Celta de Vigo B - Las Rozas	2:4 ✺
19.01.20	Las Rozas - Getafe B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWLWT
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.02.20	Peña Deportiva - Melilla	2:1 ✺
09.02.20	Celta de Vigo B - Peña Deportiva	3:1 ✺
02.02.20	Peña Deportiva - Getafe B	2:0 ✺
26.01.20	Real Madrid Castilla - Peña Deportiva	3:1 ✺
19.01.20	Peña Deportiva - Atlético Madrid B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.10.19	Peña Deportiva - Las Rozas	2:1

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