Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Las Rozas		Rayo Vallecano B

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.4
	1.85	3.5	3.65
	1.8	3.46	3.78
	1.82	3.67	3.76	Watch
	1.79	3.68	3.72
	1.85	3.5	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.76)	3.55 ↑ (3.24)	3.66 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Rozas
49.7%

Draw
25.5%

Rayo Vallecano B
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28.1%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

29.2%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Rozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Las Rozas's performance.

Rayo Vallecano B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rayo Vallecano B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Rozas than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Las Rozas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Vallecano B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Las Rozas - Rayo Vallecano B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 1 - 0, Quivira I. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Navarro H. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Baladia A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 2, Lagreca S. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Rozas won 2.

Las Rozas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Rayo Vallecano B has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Las Rozas won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Las Rozas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Rozas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
27.04.25	Leganés B - Las Rozas	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Las Rozas - Tres Cantos	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Carabanchel - Las Rozas	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Las Rozas - El Álamo	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Collado Villalba - Las Rozas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWT
- Rayo Vallecano B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
27.04.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Canillas	3:2 ✺
17.04.25	Alcorcón B - Rayo Vallecano B	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Torrejón	3:3 ✺
06.04.25	Alcalá - Rayo Vallecano B	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Cala Pozuelo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.12.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Las Rozas	3:2
23.03.24	Las Rozas - Rayo Vallecano B	3:0
05.11.23	Rayo Vallecano B - Las Rozas	3:1
05.03.23	Las Rozas - Rayo Vallecano B	2:2
30.10.22	Rayo Vallecano B - Las Rozas	0:1
16.03.22	Rayo Vallecano B - Las Rozas	0:1
17.11.21	Las Rozas - Rayo Vallecano B	2:0

Las Rozas - Rayo Vallecano B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide