Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 32

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Rayo Vallecano B		Canillas

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.5	6
	1.34	4.8	6.8
	1.35	4.92	7.06
	1.32	5.05	6.98
	1.34	4.8	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.37)	4.81 ↑ (4.63)	6.73 ↑ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano B
67.6%

Draw
18.9%

Canillas
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

19.7%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

14.6%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Canillas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rayo Vallecano B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canillas than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canillas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rayo Vallecano B - Canillas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Ybarra J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 2, ⚽,
61', 2 - 2, Eto'o E. ⚽,
77', 3 - 2, Baladia A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Rayo Vallecano B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Canillas has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rayo Vallecano B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rayo Vallecano B is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano B won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.04.25	Alcorcón B - Rayo Vallecano B	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Torrejón	3:3 ✺
06.04.25	Alcalá - Rayo Vallecano B	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Cala Pozuelo	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Leganés B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTTLL
- CD Canillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.04.25	Canillas - Leganés B	0:3 ✺
12.04.25	Tres Cantos - Canillas	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Canillas - Carabanchel	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	El Álamo - Canillas	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Canillas - Collado Villalba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
15.12.24	Canillas - Rayo Vallecano B	1:1
21.01.24	Canillas - Rayo Vallecano B	1:0
15.01.23	Rayo Vallecano B - Canillas	1:0
11.09.22	Canillas - Rayo Vallecano B	3:1
17.03.19	Canillas - Rayo Vallecano B	0:1

Rayo Vallecano B - Canillas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide