Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	Las Vegas Lights		LA Galaxy II

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.9	2.37	Watch
	2.28	3.85	2.43
	2.42	3.45	2.41
	2.51	3.64	2.47
	2.49	3.64	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.33)	3.7 ↓ (3.87)	2.42 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Lights
38%

Draw
24.6%

LA Galaxy II
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

24.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

24.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

LA Galaxy II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LA Galaxy II than the current prediction. (-1%)

Las Vegas Lights - LA Galaxy II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

Las Vegas has the most likely position - 12 (19.24%), has project points - 37, has currently - 12, has a small chance of playoffs (15%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

LA Galaxy II has the most likely position - 13 (20.12%), has project points - 37, has currently - 7, has a small chance of playoffs (14%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 9, small importance 12, small match rating 10. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Vegas won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Las Vegas won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Las Vegas won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
16.04.22	Las Vegas Lights - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Las Vegas Lights - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:3 ✺
01.04.22	Charleston Battery - Las Vegas Lights	1:2 ✺
26.03.22	Las Vegas Lights - Memphis 901	0:1 ✺
23.03.22	El Paso Locomotive - Las Vegas Lights	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.2 WLWLW
- LA Galaxy II
USL Championship
16.04.22	LA Galaxy II - Monterey Bay	3:1 ✺
09.04.22	Phoenix Rising - LA Galaxy II	3:1 ✺
02.04.22	Indy Eleven - LA Galaxy II	1:1 ✺
23.03.22	LA Galaxy II - Rio Grande Valley	1:0 ✺
19.03.22	LA Galaxy II - San Antonio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
08.10.21	Las Vegas Lights - LA Galaxy II	0:1
27.08.21	Las Vegas Lights - LA Galaxy II	2:3
16.06.21	LA Galaxy II - Las Vegas Lights	3:4
05.05.21	LA Galaxy II - Las Vegas Lights	5:0
26.09.20	Las Vegas Lights - LA Galaxy II	2:2
15.09.20	LA Galaxy II - Las Vegas Lights	3:2
30.08.20	LA Galaxy II - Las Vegas Lights	4:3

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